08 · Forecasting
Forecasts with the uncertainty shown.
Autessa projects revenue, burn, and runway from your actuals — and shows the confidence range, not a single false-precision line.
The problem
A single forecast line hides the risk that matters.
A forecast presented as a single number implies a precision that does not exist. Planning against that one line means you are blind to the downside until it arrives.
See your runway with the downside shown.
Book a 30-minute demo and we'll show it live, then a free pilot on your own data.
The solution
Projections, with the confidence range kept visible.
Autessa projects revenue, burn, and runway from your actuals — and crucially shows the confidence range, not a single false-precision line. You see the likely case and the downside, so you can plan for both.
Built from your actuals
Revenue, burn, and runway are projected from your real ledgers, not a generic template, so the forecast reflects how your business actually behaves.
Likely, downside, and upside
Every projection carries its confidence band — P50, P10, P90 — so you plan against the spread instead of a false-precision single line.
How it fits
Forecasts that stay current on their own.
Autessa reads your actuals as they post, re-projects, and shows the updated range. There is no monthly rebuild of a spreadsheet model, and nothing to re-key.
The judgment stays with you. Autessa shows the likely case and the downside; you decide how to plan against them.
Because it runs off your live actuals, the forecast does not drift out of date the way a hand-built model does between closes.
Questions finance teams ask
Straight answers before you book.
Why show a range instead of one number?+
A single forecast number implies a precision that does not exist. Autessa shows the likely case (P50) alongside the downside (P10) and upside (P90), so you can plan for the range rather than be surprised by it.
What is the forecast based on?+
Your actuals. Revenue, burn, and runway are projected from your real numbers, so the ranges reflect your business rather than a generic model.
What do P10, P50, and P90 mean here?+
They are the confidence range. P50 is the likely case, P10 the downside you should be able to weather, and P90 the upside. Showing all three keeps the uncertainty visible so you plan against the spread instead of a single false-precision line.
How often does the forecast update?+
It re-projects as your actuals post, so the forecast and its range stay current between closes rather than drifting out of date the way a hand-built model does until someone rebuilds it.
Can I see how a decision changes the runway range?+
Yes. Because the projection runs off your live numbers, a change like a planned hire shifts the likely case and the downside together, so you can see how a decision moves the whole range — not just the headline number.